Post by Char JacksonPost by PaulWill an AI ever re-write Firefox in one gulp ? The answer is NO :-)
I don't think it's reasonable to suggest that the current state of the art for
AI is all we'll ever see. On the contrary, it's probably a near certainty that
what got us to this point will sooner or later be overshadowed by future
advancements. In other words, "ever" is a very long time.
I'm still surprised that after so many tech advances, over a couple
of hundred years, we're still so naive as to get excited about how
the latest development will change our lives. Of course, there have
been changes. We put clothes into a machine with a button now, to
wash them, and no longer need to hike down to the river with a scrub
board. But those are not changes in quality of life. They're only
details. The tech is only tools.
Meanwhile, people keep getting excited about how the next
breakthrough will transform our lives. I see that as a symptom of
depression. The people who want a push-button world or who thrill
that AI can look something up online without having to think for
themselves are people who find it a hassle to simply relate to their
own experience. "Let's get a device to save us from having to
actually live our lives. That will be so great!"
I remember as a child having a futurism mindset. I used to watch
some science show every Sunday evening, hosted by Union Carbide.
The show told me about what's new in science. The commercials
told me about breakthroughs at Union Carbide. Utopia always seemed
just one discovery away. Now the kids are living through devices,
numbed by disconnection, "traumatized" when they have to deal with
humans, yet the mythology of tech utopia is still in effect. Futurism --
"the miracle of tech" -- is still the naive answer to dealing with life's
problems. The glee of "What'll they think of next?!" is still a kind of
existential landmark of desperate hope against the abyss of death.
"Life sucks and then you die, but have you seen this new aerial
toothbrush that you don't even have to hold? It's incredible."
Humanity somehow always dreams up naively utopian scenarios while on the
application side the money-changers just ram yet another spruce up their
chimney with the same 'innovation'. I ask myself will AI-driven cars end
up dominating and the answer is an unequivocal YES. Will that be a good
thing? The answer is an unequivocal NO. But dominate they WILL, not
because they let your family admire the scenery along 1000 miles of
beautiful countryside while enjoying smalltalk and meditating about
noble values between A and B but because all that time you will instead
be CONSUMING the good life sold by online merchants bumber-to-bumper at
200mph. There WILL be fewer although more dramatic accidents, no
problemo, what the insurers want is either no accidents or no survivors.
Meanwhile the political 'industry' will have to spend less on roads with
more left in the jar for the deep-state controlling traffic via
satellites. When you arrive on a bridge with the unfortunate file of
someone whose ancestors had made the stupid mistake of having a
faecesbook/google account from which it has since been computed that you
will soon become a very expensively sick person the electrical steering
(already being imposed on everyone today) throws a fit and your car off
the bridge. "Oops, sorry, computer glitch". Nothing is darker than the
dark side, and it's here.
A few years ago when computer billing was in its infancy I got my dose
of double-bills, mostly minor chickenshit but a few of them were like
this one oil bill for $2000, twice. Busy people swamped in paperwork (or
whogivesafuck employees) might not have noticed it at all. "Computer
glitch" they said, and refunded me. Funny thing, random chance would see
as many such 'glitches' giving me free money but of this sacrilegious
description there were NONE in all these years. Sez it all, get ready
for 1984 forty years late :-)
Oh yeah, AI will be impressively correct and efficient 99% of the time
so soon there won't be a single human being with a career to protect who
will DARE challenge it; you think political-correctness was bad? You
ain't seen nothing like *AI-Correctness* yet.